Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Porz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 39.3 against 41.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Porz holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Porz
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Porz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20