GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 3/3/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Freialdenhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Porz are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Freialdenhoven are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Freialdenhoven hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Freialdenhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Freialdenhoven

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Freialdenhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PorzWLDLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
FreialdenhovenDLDDL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
PorzFreialdenhoven
46.0Attack54.0
27.6Defence50.6
39.1Form41.4
39.3Power48.8
1.49xG2.28
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