Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Porz are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 6.00 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
77.0%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 30 · avg 1.60/6.00
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00