Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Porz are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (LD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Frechen are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
77.0%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/0.50