Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bornheim · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Porz are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Bornheim are 0W-0D-4L in their last 4 (LLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Bornheim hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.8% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bornheim holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 85% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bornheim
Probability
57.8%
Model confidence
57.8%
Bornheim has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/3.25