GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/3/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Porz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Porz are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LLLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded, while BCV Glesch / Paffendorf are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DLW), averaging 1.67 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Porz hold an 18.4-point power-rating edge (39.3 v 20.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.0% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Porz holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Porz

Probability

68.0%

Model confidence

68.0%

Porz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PorzLLLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25

BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
BCV Glesch / PaffendorfDLW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.67/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
PorzBCV Glesch / Paffendorf
46.0Attack27.5
27.6Defence11.8
39.1Form11.8
39.3Power20.9
2.87xG1.17
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