PortuguesavsPouso Alegre

Portuguesa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pouso Alegre are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa hold a 31.3-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.9% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.