Portuguesavs
América RJ
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portuguesa · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Portuguesa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while América RJ are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa hold a 28.2-point power-rating edge (65.3 v 37.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.5% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portuguesa
Probability
74.5%
Model confidence
74.5%
Portuguesa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40