GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista - U20 · 6/28/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portuguesa U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portuguesa U20 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ferroviária U20 are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa U20 hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (62.8 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Paulista - U20, while Portuguesa U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portuguesa U20

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

14.8%

Portuguesa U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portuguesa U20WWLDW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Ferroviária U20WWLDD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Portuguesa U20Ferroviária U20
55.6Attack48.1
66.7Defence70.4
63.0Form63.0
62.8Power60.6
1.14xG0.93
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