Portuguesa RJvs
Madureira
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/18/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portuguesa RJ · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Portuguesa RJ are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Madureira are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Portuguesa RJ hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (53.7 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Serie D, while Portuguesa RJ holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portuguesa RJ
Probability
56.7%
Model confidence
56.7%
Portuguesa RJ has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80