Portuguesa FCvs
Zamora FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Copa Venezuela · 10/21/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Zamora FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portuguesa FC 0-2 Zamora FC
Original prediction
Zamora FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.89 | 31.1% | 28.0% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.3% | 27.9% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 44.1% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.33 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Zamora FC
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Zamora FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00