Portuguesa FCvs
Zamora FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 9/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portuguesa FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Portuguesa FC 1-0 Zamora FC, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Portuguesa FC 1-1 Zamora FC
Original prediction
Portuguesa FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.2% | 54.1% | 11.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.1% | 26.5% | -3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.6% | 19.4% | -8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Projected Score
Portuguesa FC 1–0 Zamora FC
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Portuguesa FC
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Portuguesa FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60