Portuguesa FCvs
Metropolitanos FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 8/30/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portuguesa FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Portuguesa FC 0-0 Metropolitanos FC, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Portuguesa FC 2-2 Metropolitanos FC
Original prediction
Portuguesa FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.8% | 37.3% | -0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.6% | 30.8% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 32.5% | 32.0% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.5 pts
Projected Score
Portuguesa FC 0–0 Metropolitanos FC
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Portuguesa FC
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Portuguesa FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00