Portuguesa FCvs
Deportivo La Guaira
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Portuguesa FC 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Portuguesa FC 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.04 | 30.0% | 33.2% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.8% | 30.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 41.2% | 36.4% | -4.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.16 · Draw 2.16 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.7 pts
Projected Score
Portuguesa FC 0–0 Deportivo La Guaira
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.5%
Model confidence
36.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60