Portuguesa FCvs
Carabobo FC
COMPLETEDVenezuela · Primera División · 10/25/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Carabobo FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Portuguesa FC 0-0 Carabobo FC, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Portuguesa FC 1-3 Carabobo FC
Original prediction
Carabobo FC
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 06:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.06 | 29.7% | 31.6% | 1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.6% | 30.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.24 | 40.7% | 37.8% | -2.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.24 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Projected Score
Portuguesa FC 0–0 Carabobo FC
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Carabobo FC
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Carabobo FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80