Portugaletevs
Eibar II
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 10/17/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Eibar II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugalete 0-0 Eibar II
Original prediction
Eibar II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 16:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.1% | 26.8% | -6.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.6% | 27.2% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 36.2% | 46.1% | 9.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.94 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Eibar II
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Eibar II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40