Portugaletevs
Coruxo
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/19/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Coruxo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugalete 2-1 Coruxo
Original prediction
Coruxo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.04 | 29.7% | 29.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.7% | 36.5% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Coruxo
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
36.5%
Coruxo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00