Portugaletevs
Compostela
COMPLETEDSpain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 · 9/13/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugalete · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugalete 0-0 Compostela
Original prediction
Portugalete
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 46.2% | 40.1% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.5% | 29.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.4% | 30.8% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Portugalete
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Portugalete has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00