Friendlies
Portugal
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Nigeria
AwayFriendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesPortugalNigeriaProbability breakdown
Nigeria leads with 33% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Portugal head into this in Friendlies fixture in decent form (LWDWD), while Nigeria arrive in mixed form (D). Portugal have a 40% win rate across their last 5 matches, compared to 0% for Nigeria over 1 games.
Both sides are defensively strong — Portugal (79/100) and Nigeria (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.
Portugal have won 2 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home. Nigeria have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.
Portugal have generated 1.25 xG per game recently while conceding 0.88 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches. Nigeria have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match.
Portugal have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 3.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Portugal to win with 33% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Portugal 3333%, Draw 3333%, Nigeria 3334%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Portugal
Nigeria
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Portugal vs Nigeria?
GoalVio's model predicts Portugal to win with 33% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Nigeria?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Portugal vs Nigeria?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Portugal vs Nigeria?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.