Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 02:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Portugal
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Portugal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
PortugalWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DenmarkWLWLW
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PortugalDenmark
75.0Attack58.3
66.7Defence41.7
100.0Form50.0
84.6Power51.8
2.09xG1.03