World Cup
Portugal
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Portugal leads with 56% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Portugal head into this in World Cup fixture at NRG Stadium in decent form (LWDWD), while Congo DR arrive in mixed form (LWLD). Portugal have a 40% win rate across their last 5 matches, compared to 25% for Congo DR over 4 games.
The model rates Portugal's attack at 58/100 against a 56/100 Congo DR defence, and Congo DR's attack at 44/100 against a 79/100 Portugal backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Portugal have won 2 of their last 4 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game at home. Congo DR have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.
Portugal have generated 1.25 xG per game recently while conceding 0.88 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches. Congo DR have generated 0.85 xG per game recently while conceding 0.77 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 80% of recent matches.
The last 1 meetings between these sides have been evenly split, with 1 draw, averaging 2.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Portugal to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Portugal 5550%, Draw 2470%, Congo DR 1980%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.
Head to head
Recent form
Portugal
Congo DR
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Portugal vs Congo DR?
GoalVio's model predicts Portugal to win with 52% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Portugal vs Congo DR?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.
Will both teams score in Portugal vs Congo DR?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Portugal vs Congo DR?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.