Portugal U21vs
Gibraltar U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 9/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugal U21 · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Portugal U21 4-0 Gibraltar U21, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugal U21 4-0 Gibraltar U21
Original prediction
Portugal U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.01 | 96.5% | 90.8% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 44.50 | 2.2% | 5.7% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 71.00 | 1.4% | 3.5% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.01 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.7 pts
Projected Score
Portugal U21 4–0 Gibraltar U21
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Portugal U21
Probability
90.8%
Model confidence
90.8%
Portugal U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40
GF 0 · GA 20 · avg 0.00/4.00