Portugal U21vs
Czechia U21
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification · 10/6/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugal U21 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugal U21 2-0 Czechia U21
Original prediction
Portugal U21
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 September 2026 at 18:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.35 | 67.3% | 56.5% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 20.0% | 22.8% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 7.15 | 12.7% | 20.7% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.35 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Portugal U21
Probability
56.5%
Model confidence
56.5%
Portugal U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20