GGOALVIO

World · U20 Elite League · 9/29/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portugal U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Portugal U20 1-2 Switzerland U20

Original prediction

Portugal U20

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3267.9%45.5%-22.4 pts
Draw4.5619.7%24.8%5.1 pts
Away7.2512.4%29.8%17.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-22.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–110%
  2. 2.2–18%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Portugal U20

Probability

45.5%

Model confidence

45.5%

Portugal U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portugal U20LWWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Switzerland U20LWLLW

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Portugal U20Switzerland U20
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
15.3Power23.7
1.81xG1.70
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