Portugal U20vs
Poland U20
COMPLETEDWorld · U20 Elite League · 9/26/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugal U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugal U20 1-3 Poland U20
Original prediction
Portugal U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 62.7% | 43.3% | -19.4 pts |
| Draw | 4.17 | 21.7% | 24.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 5.79 | 15.6% | 32.6% | 17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Portugal U20
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Portugal U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00