Portugal U20vs
Czechia U20
COMPLETEDWorld · U20 Elite League · 10/2/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Czechia U20 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugal U20 5-0 Czechia U20
Original prediction
Czechia U20
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 46.4% | 34.8% | -11.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 25.3% | 25.4% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.21 | 28.4% | 39.8% | 11.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Czechia U20
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Czechia U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40