Portugal U19vs
Denmark U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/3/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugal U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugal U19 3-3 Denmark U19
Original prediction
Portugal U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.59 | 56.8% | 48.9% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.8% | 26.2% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.4% | 24.9% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.80 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Portugal U19
Probability
48.9%
Model confidence
48.9%
Portugal U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80