Portugal U19vs
Austria U19
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies · 10/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugal U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portugal U19 4-0 Austria U19
Original prediction
Portugal U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 50.6% | 40.6% | -10.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.5% | 27.1% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.76 | 23.9% | 32.3% | 8.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Portugal U19
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
40.6%
Portugal U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40