Portsmouthvs
Gillingham
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 10/10/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portsmouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Portsmouth are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gillingham are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Portsmouth hold a 24.4-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Portsmouth holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portsmouth
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
Portsmouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40