Portsmouthvs
Fulham U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 8/22/2023, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portsmouth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Portsmouth are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Fulham U21 are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Portsmouth hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Portsmouth holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portsmouth
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Portsmouth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/3.00