GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 12/19/2023, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portsmouth are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while AFC Wimbledon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 57.5 against 59.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.1% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Wimbledon

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

40.1%

AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

PortsmouthWWWWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
AFC WimbledonDWLWL

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
PortsmouthAFC Wimbledon
100.0Attack61.1
16.7Defence61.1
58.3Form55.6
57.5Power59.2
1.96xG2.12
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