Porto Velhovs
Independência
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 5/9/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porto Velho · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Porto Velho are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Independência are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Porto Velho hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (63.9 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Serie D, while Porto Velho holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Porto Velho
Probability
55.1%
Model confidence
55.1%
Porto Velho has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00