Porto U19vs
Rio Ave U19
COMPLETEDPortugal · Júniores U19 · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porto U19 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Porto U19 0-0 Rio Ave U19
Original prediction
Porto U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 74.4% | 59.1% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 5.59 | 16.1% | 22.8% | 6.6 pts |
| Away | 9.50 | 9.5% | 18.2% | 8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–013%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Porto U19
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
Porto U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80