Porto U19vs
Manchester City U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 9/8/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Porto U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Porto U19 3-1 Manchester City U19
Original prediction
Porto U19
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 07:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.69 | 33.4% | 37.0% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.1% | 27.6% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 42.5% | 35.4% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Porto U19
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Porto U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00