Porto Football U20vs
Gremio Prudente U20
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio Prudente U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Porto Football U20 1-7 Gremio Prudente U20
Original prediction
Gremio Prudente U20
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.58 | 25.3% | 28.4% | 3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 25.8% | 27.5% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 1.85 | 49.0% | 44.1% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Gremio Prudente U20
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Gremio Prudente U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00