Portmore Unitedvs
Waterhouse
COMPLETEDJamaica · Premier League · 10/8/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterhouse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portmore United 1-1 Waterhouse
Original prediction
Waterhouse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 12:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.72 | 33.3% | 33.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.99 | 30.3% | 28.2% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.49 | 36.4% | 38.2% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.99 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Waterhouse
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Waterhouse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80