Portmore UnitedvsHumble Lions

COMPLETED

Jamaica · Premier League · 9/27/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portmore United · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Portmore United 1-0 Humble Lions, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Final result

Portmore United 4-1 Humble Lions

Original prediction

Portmore United

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	1.23	73.6%	66.1%	-7.4 pts
Draw	5.33	16.9%	20.9%	4.0 pts
Away	9.44	9.5%	12.9%	3.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.4 pts

Projected Score

Portmore United 1–0 Humble Lions

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Portmore United

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

66.1%

Portmore United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Portmore UnitedWLWLD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Humble LionsLLLLD

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5

Portmore UnitedHumble Lions

45.2Attack38.5

78.6Defence41.0

59.5Form32.1

62.4Power38.5

1.84xG0.52