GGOALVIO

Jamaica · Premier League · 10/25/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portmore United · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Portmore United 0-0 Chapelton

Original prediction

Portmore United

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 24 October 2026 at 07:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5658.1%55.1%-3.0 pts
Draw3.7124.4%24.7%0.4 pts
Away5.1617.5%20.2%2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–013%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.1–111%

Predicted outcome

Portmore United

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Portmore United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portmore UnitedWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
ChapeltonWDLDW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Portmore UnitedChapelton
66.7Attack22.2
66.7Defence44.4
55.6Form44.4
62.7Power39.5
1.87xG0.76
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