Portland Timbersvs
Sporting Kansas City
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 2/28/2023, 3:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Portland Timbers are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
78.3%
Model confidence
78.3%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80