Portland Timbersvs
San Jose Earthquakes
COMPLETEDWorld · Leagues Cup · 7/23/2023, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Portland Timbers are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 44.2-point power-rating edge (65.7 v 21.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Leagues Cup, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80