Portland Timbersvs
San Diego
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/20/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Timbers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while San Diego are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 48.4 against 47.8. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
7.8%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00