Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:03
Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

Home
W
21
Full time
Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake

Away
W
Providence Park
GoalVio prediction
42% confidence
Portland Timbers(42%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Portland Timbers
42%
Draw
24%
Real Salt Lake
34%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Portland Timbers
100
Real Salt Lake
99
Defence
Portland Timbers
66
Real Salt Lake
66
Momentum
Portland Timbers
100
Real Salt Lake
100
Danger (xG)
Portland Timbers
4.50
Real Salt Lake
3.60
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Portland Timbers)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (Real Salt Lake)
3.60
avg per match
xG against (Portland Timbers)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Real Salt Lake)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
WDL
Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake
WWW

Probability breakdown

42% confidence
Portland Timbers42%
Draw24%
Real Salt Lake34%

Portland Timbers leads with 42% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Portland Timbers head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Providence Park in mixed form (W), while Real Salt Lake arrive in mixed form (W). Portland Timbers have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Real Salt Lake over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Portland Timbers (66/100) and Real Salt Lake (66/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Portland Timbers have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Real Salt Lake have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

Portland Timbers have generated 0.65 xG per game recently while conceding 1.88 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Portland Timbers and Real Salt Lake in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Portland Timbers to win with 42% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Portland Timbers 4169%, Draw 2415%, Real Salt Lake 3415%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

W
@ Seattle Sounders
17 Jul 2026
51
D
@ CF Montreal
14 May 2026
22
L
@ Houston Dynamo
21 Sept 2025
01
xG 0.7
Real Salt Lake

Real Salt Lake

W
vs Burnley
16 Jul 2026
41
W
vs Colorado Rapids
17 May 2026
21
W
vs Houston Dynamo
14 May 2026
30

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?

GoalVio's model predicts Portland Timbers to win with 42% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Portland Timbers vs Real Salt Lake?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more