GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 8:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portland Timbers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland TimbersLLLWW

GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Los Angeles GalaxyLLWDD

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Portland TimbersLos Angeles Galaxy
61.1Attack40.0
38.9Defence50.0
44.4Form36.7
48.4Power44.2
2.01xG1.33
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