Portland Timbersvs
Los Angeles Galaxy
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 3/22/2026, 8:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Portland Timbers are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Los Angeles Galaxy are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 44.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Portland Timbers holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00