GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/11/2026, 8:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Portland Timbers are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Los Angeles FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 61.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles FC

Probability

55.8%

Model confidence

10.1%

Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland TimbersLDLLL

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Los Angeles FCWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 0 · avg 2.20/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Portland TimbersLos Angeles FC
61.1Attack61.4
38.9Defence66.7
44.4Form59.6
48.4Power61.5
1.27xG2.15
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