Major League SoccerMajor League Soccer
Thursday, 23 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

Home
W
22
Full time
FC Dallas

FC Dallas

Away
WL
Providence Park
GoalVio prediction
50% confidence
Portland Timbers(50%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Portland Timbers
50%
Draw
22%
FC Dallas
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Portland Timbers
100
FC Dallas
86
Defence
Portland Timbers
66
FC Dallas
14
Momentum
Portland Timbers
100
FC Dallas
50
Danger (xG)
Portland Timbers
4.50
FC Dallas
2.25
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Portland Timbers)
4.50
avg per match
xG for (FC Dallas)
2.25
avg per match
xG against (Portland Timbers)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FC Dallas)
2.25
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Portland TimbersPortland Timbers
WDL
FC DallasFC Dallas
WL

Probability breakdown

50% confidence
Portland Timbers50%
Draw22%
FC Dallas28%

Portland Timbers leads with 50% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Portland Timbers head into this in Major League Soccer fixture at Providence Park in mixed form (W), while FC Dallas arrive in mixed form (WL). Portland Timbers have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 50% for FC Dallas over 2 games.

Both teams carry genuine attacking threat — Portland Timbers (100/100) and FC Dallas (86/100) are both rated highly going forward. The model anticipates an open, goal-heavy contest.

Portland Timbers have limited home data in the engine at this stage. FC Dallas have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per away game.

Portland Timbers have generated 0.65 xG per game recently while conceding 1.88 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Portland Timbers and FC Dallas in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Portland Timbers to win with 50% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Portland Timbers 5031%, Draw 2208%, FC Dallas 2761%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

W
@ Seattle Sounders
17 Jul 2026
51
D
@ CF Montreal
14 May 2026
22
L
@ Houston Dynamo
21 Sept 2025
01
xG 0.7
FC Dallas

FC Dallas

W
@ San Jose Earthquakes
17 May 2026
32
L
vs Vancouver Whitecaps
14 May 2026
23

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

GoalVio's model predicts Portland Timbers to win with 50% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more