Portland Timbersvs
Colorado Rapids
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 10/18/2026, 2:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Timbers 0-0 Colorado Rapids
Original prediction
Portland Timbers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 18 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.9% | 42.5% | -4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 25.3% | 21.9% | -3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 27.7% | 35.5% | 7.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.71 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Portland Timbers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40