Portland Timbers IIvs
Ventura County
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 10/26/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers II · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Timbers II 0-1 Ventura County
Original prediction
Portland Timbers II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 08:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.2% | 38.5% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.3% | 27.1% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 28.6% | 34.5% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers II
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
38.5%
Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20