GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/31/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Portland Timbers II · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Portland Timbers II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (60.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Portland Timbers II holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Portland Timbers II

Probability

48.1%

Model confidence

48.1%

Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Portland Timbers IILWWDW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Tacoma DefianceWWLDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Timbers IITacoma Defiance
44.9Attack45.5
65.2Defence51.5
65.2Form47.0
60.0Power49.6
1.49xG0.86
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