Portland Timbers IIvs
St. Louis City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Timbers II 2-0 St. Louis City II
Original prediction
Portland Timbers II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 15:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.53 | 35.9% | 46.2% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.4% | 25.3% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.7% | 28.5% | -9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.53 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers II
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
46.2%
Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40