Portland Timbers IIvs
St. Louis City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/14/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Timbers II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Portland Timbers II 1-1 St. Louis City II
Original prediction
Portland Timbers II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.6% | 41.1% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.1% | 27.6% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 37.3% | 31.3% | -6.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.46 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Portland Timbers II
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Portland Timbers II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80